Generally, in drafts, I try to make sure I don't miss in the early rounds. It's best to take safer players because if you miss on your early round draft pick then you have a lot to make up. For instance, I would rather take the more proven Chase Utley than Ian Kinsler/Pedroia and I would rather take the more proven Johan Santana or CC Sabathia rather than the third year pitcher Tim Lincecum.
Meanwhile, in the later rounds, I draft solely on potential, favoring high risk high reward players. The theory is that if you miss in the later rounds, it is not a big deal because you can always find an average player through free agency and waivers. Therefore, in the latter half of the draft, I like taking pitchers with high strikeout rates (such as Oliver Perez) or hitters with a lot of power potential (such as Pat Burrell) or steals potential (Willy Taveras). I would avoid low upside players such as Placido Polanco because a combination of free agents would probably give me similar value.
Note that the cheat sheets are my guide, but drafting may not strictly follow them as statistical needs arise. The later stages of the overall prerankings I would often stray from. Note that the differing colors show different tiers.
Catchers
| McCann |
|
| Martin |
|
| Mauer |
|
| Soto |
|
| Victor |
|
| Doumit |
|
| Napoli | Major Power, potential |
| Iannetta | can he build on a good debut season |
| Bengie Molina | 34 right now, been so consistent last 6 years |
| Wieters | Upside Tempting |
| Sandoval | Upside Tempting |
| Posada | 37 right now, very scary pick |
| Ramon Hernandez |
|
| Shoppach | Victor will play 1b |
| Jeff Clement | potential |
| Chris Snyder |
|
| Pierzynski | don't see upside |
| Dioner Navarro |
|
First Base
| Pujols |
|
| Miguel Cabrera |
|
| Teixeira |
|
| Ryan Howard | 167 to 144 to 124 last three years, worrisome |
| Lane Berkman | cooled off a lot in the second half |
| Prince Fielder |
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| Justin Morneau |
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| Kevin Youkilis |
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| Adrian Gonzalez |
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| Chris Davis |
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| Derrek Lee |
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| Carlos Pena |
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| Joey Votto |
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| Garrett Atkins |
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| Aubrey Huff |
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| Adam Dunn | now in Washington power #s will be hard to match |
| Carlos Delgado |
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| Jorge Cantu |
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| Connor Jackson | No power though |
| James Loney | No power though |
| Paul Konerko |
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| Adam Laroche |
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| Pablo Sandoval |
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| Carlos Guillen |
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| Billy Butler |
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| Mike Jacobs |
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| Hank Blalock |
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| Jason Giambi |
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| Casey Kotchman | |
Second Base
Third Base
Shortstop
Outfielders
Closers
Starting Pitchers
Overall Prerankings
| Chase Utley | a surer thing than Pedroia or Kinsler |
| Ian Kinsler | MVP of fantasy before injury last year |
| Dustin Pedroia | runs, average |
| Brandon Phillips |
|
| Brian Roberts |
|
| Dan Uggla | 27, 31, and 32 homers last 3 ssns |
| Alexei Ramirez |
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| Robinson Cano |
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| Chone Figgins |
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| Howie Kendrick | has yet to do anything |
| Mike Aviles |
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| Jose Lopez |
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| Mark DeRosa |
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| Rickie Weeks |
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| Placido Polanco |
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| Kelly Johnson |
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| Kazuo Matsui |
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| Arod |
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| Wright |
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| Cabrera |
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| Longoria |
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| Youkilis |
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| Aramis |
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| Chipper |
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| Chris Davis |
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| Atkins |
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| Huff |
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| Zimmerman | injured last year, will have Dunn this year |
| Chone |
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| Beltre |
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| Alex Gordon |
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| Jorge Cantu |
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| Sandoval |
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| Edwin Encarnacion |
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| Carlos Guillen |
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| Mark Reynolds |
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| DeRosa |
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| Mora |
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| Troy Glaus | sure power |
| Mike Lowell |
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| Blalock |
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| Kouzmanoff |
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| Brandon Wood | it wasn’t long ago… |
| Hanley |
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| Jose Reyes |
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| Rollins |
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| Furcal |
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| Alexei Ramirez |
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| Tulowitzki |
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| Stephen Drew |
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| Michael Young |
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| Jeter | Decline |
| Hardy |
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| Peralta |
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| Mike Aviles |
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| Tejada |
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| Theriot |
|
| Elvis Andrus | upside |
| Khalil Greene |
|
| Orlando Cabrera |
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| Jed Lowrie |
|
| Edgar Renteria |
|
| Brandon Wood |
|
| Sizemore | Adam Dunn |
| Braun | Damon |
| Hamilton | Ibanez |
| Soriano | Vernon Wells |
| Beltran | Nelson Cruz |
| BJ Upton | Rick Ankiel |
| Carlos Lee | Chris Young |
| Manny | Andre Ethier |
| Ichiro | Brad Hawpe |
| Crawford | Justin Upton |
| Quentin | Adam Jones |
| Holliday | Jayson Werth |
| Markakis | Pat Burrell |
| Jason Bay | Conor Jackson |
| Matt Kemp | Milledge |
| Alex Rios | Matsui |
| Granderson | Delmon Young |
| McLouth | Mark DeRosa |
| Ellsbury | Xavier Nady |
| Vlady | Willy Taveras |
| Victorino | Adam Lind |
| Corey Hart | Choo |
| Hunter Pence | Bourn |
| Bobby Abreu | Francoeur |
| Maggs | Cust |
| Jay Bruce | Maybin |
| Dye | Hermida |
| Ludwick | Carlos Gomez |
| Alexei Ramirez | Gary Sheffield |
| Milton Bradley | Mike Cameron |
| Torii Hunter | Juan Pierre |
|
| Chase Headley |
| Papelbon |
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| Nathan |
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| Mariano |
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| Brad Lidge |
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| Soria |
|
| Krod | should get many opportunities |
| Fuentes | Arredondo solid setup man |
| Broxton |
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| Jenks |
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| Marmol | anticipating beating out Gregg |
| Kerry Wood | health concerns |
| Jose Valverde |
|
| BJ Ryan |
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| Matt Capps |
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| Francisco Cordero | job secure |
| Heath Bell | job secure |
| Trevor Hoffman | job secure |
| Frank Francisco |
|
| Brian Wilson |
|
| Chad Qualls | Jon Rauch and Tony Pena scare |
| Mike Gonzalez | Rafael Soriano lurks |
| Huston Street | should beat out Corpas |
| Chris Ray |
|
| Joey Devine | over Brad Ziegler |
| Chris Perez | fights with Jason Motte |
| Brandon Lyon | Rodney, Zumaya lurk |
| Matt Lindstrom | dangerous, not secure |
| Percival | dangerous, not secure |
| Joel Hanrahan |
|
| Seattle closer? | Mark Lowe? Walker? |
| Brad Ziegler |
|
| Jason Motte |
|
| Manny Corpas | depends on Huston Street |
| Kevin Gregg | depends on Marmol |
| Rafael Soriano | depends on Mike Gonzalez |
| Dan Wheeler | b/c Percival sucks |
| Jose Arredondo | depends on Fuentes |
| Fernando Rodney |
|
| Tony Pena |
|
| Rafael Betancourt |
|
| Johan | too consistent |
| CC | 20+ wins seems highly likely |
| Lincecum | one year, and small frame heavy workload |
| Webb | consistency |
| Hamels | more wins this year |
| Jake Peavy | Ks |
| Halladay |
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| Haren |
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| Roy Oswalt |
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| John Lackey |
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| Liriano |
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| Felix |
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| James Shields |
|
| Ervin Santana |
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| Beckett | wins |
| Kazmir |
|
| Greinke |
|
| Dice-K | getting better |
| Billingsley |
|
| Cliff Lee | the next esteban loaiza? |
| Gallardo |
|
| AJ Burnett |
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| Edinson Volquez |
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| Rich Harden | top 10 when he's healthy |
| Ricky Nolasco |
|
| Scott Baker |
|
| Javier Vazquez | Ks |
| Matt Cain |
|
| Ted Lilly |
|
| Erik Bedard | high upside |
| Joba Chamberlain | great situation |
| Jon Lester |
|
| Matt Garza | where did those minor league Ks go? |
| Ryan Dempster |
|
| Aaron Harang | last year could have been a fluke |
| Carlos Zambrano | ERA rose from 2.76 to 3.91 in last 8 starts |
| Adam Wainwright |
|
| Chris Young |
|
| Max Scherzer | strikeouts galore, high upside |
| Josh Johnson |
|
| Justin Verlander |
|
| Lowe |
|
| Slowey |
|
| John Danks |
|
| Clayton Kershaw |
|
| Randy Johnson |
|
| Jered Weaver |
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| Brett Myers |
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| Chris Carpenter | high upside |
| Cueto |
|
| Gil Meche |
|
| John Maine |
|
| Ubaldo Jimenez |
|
| Brandon Morrow |
|
| Oliver Perez | always the same story: potential |
| Wandy Rodriguez | home, road splits staggering difference |
| David Price |
|
| Manny Para |
|
| Jonathan Sanchez |
|
| Carmona |
|
| Anibal Sanchez |
|
| Brad Penny |
|
| Jason Schmidt |
|
| Ian Snell |
|
| John Smoltz |
|
| Homer Bailey |
|
| Pujols | Derrek Lee | Gordon | Carlos Gomez |
| Hanley | Furcal | Cantu | Sheffield |
| Arod | Alexei | Hardy | Manny Para |
| Reyes | Uggla | Peralta | J. Sanchez |
| Wright | Kazmir | Ankiel | Carmona |
| Sizemore | Jenks | C Young (OF) | Anibal Sanchez |
| Miguel | Marmol | Ethier | Brad Penny |
| Braun | Wood | Hawpe | Jason Schmidt |
| Rollins | Valverde | Upton | Ian Snell |
| Teixeira | Tulowitzki | Kendrick | Carlos Guillen |
| Johan | Drew | Jon Lester | Greene |
| CC | M. Young | Garza | Brandon Wood |
| Utley | Ervin | Dempster | Encarnacion |
| Hamilton | Beckett | Mike Aviles | Mark Reynolds |
| Kinsler | Greinke | Harang | Mora |
| Lincecum | Dice-K | Zambrano | Glaus |
| Soriano | Billingsley | Wainwright | Billy Butler |
| Beltran | David Ortiz | Adam Jones | Mike Jacobs |
| Pedroia | Atkins | Jayson Werth | Blalock |
| Howard | Cliff Lee | Pat Burrell | Giambi |
| BJ Upton | Gallardo | Connor Jackson | Ramon Hernan |
| Carlos Lee | AJ Burnett | Chris Young | Shoppach |
| Manny | Volquez | Scherzer | Jeff Clement |
| Berkman | Victorino | Josh Johnson | Chris Snyder |
| Fielder | Pena | Verlander |
|
| Webb | Votto | Lowe |
|
| Hamels | Huff | Slowey |
|
| Longoria | Hart | Milledge |
|
| Phillips | Pence | Matsui |
|
| Roberts | Abreu | Delmon Young |
|
| Morneau | Maggs | Jose Lopez |
|
| Ichiro | Bruce | Mark DeRosa |
|
| Peavy | Dye | Nady |
|
| Halladay | Ludwick | Taveras |
|
| Haren | Cano | Adam Lind |
|
| Youkilis | Chone | Danks |
|
| Crawford | Harden | Kershaw |
|
| Aramis | Nolasco | Randy Johnson |
|
| Quentin | Baker | James Loney |
|
| Holliday | Vazquez | Konerko |
|
| Markakis | BJ Ryan | LaRoche |
|
| Bay | Capps | Iannetta |
|
| Papelbon | Cain | Molina |
|
| Nathan | Lilly | Wieters |
|
| Mariano | Bedard | Sandoval |
|
| Lidge | Zimmerman | Rickie Weeks |
|
| Oswalt | Cordero | Tejada |
|
| Lackey | Heath Bell | Jered Weaver |
|
| Chipper | Hoffman | Brett Myers |
|
| Adrian | Bradley | Carpenter |
|
| McCann | Torii | Cueto |
|
| Martin | Dunn | Meche |
|
| Mauer | Delgado | Maine |
|
| Soto | Damon | Ubaldo |
|
| Liriano | Ibanez | Morrow |
|
| Felix | Vernon Wells | Oliver Perez |
|
| Shields | Jeter | Wandy |
|
| Soria | Nelson Cruz | David Price |
|
| Krod | Joba | Posada |
|
| Kemp | Francisco | Lindstrom |
|
| Rios | Wilson | Percival |
|
| Granderson | Qualls | Hanrahan |
|
| McLouth | Mike Gonzalez | Choo |
|
| Ellsbury | Huston Street | Michael Bourn |
|
| Chris Davis | Napoli | Francoeur |
|
| Vlady | Chris Ray | Jack Cust |
|
| Victor | Joey Devine | Maybin |
|
| Fuentes | Chris Perez | Hermida |
|
| Broxton | Brandon Lyon | Theriot |
|
| Doumit | Beltre | Elvis Andrus |
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